Elections in Karachai-Cherkesia: Genuine and Imitation
Voting results of SAO astronomers
in the December 4, 2011 elections
to the Russian parliament (Duma)
of the 6-th convocation.
Official data (per cent)
Party | Nizhnyi Arkhyz Comm. No.123 | Zelenchuk
region of KChR | Karachai- Cherkesia |
Fair Russia | 13.99 | 0.77 | 0.47 |
Liberal Democrates | 4.53 | 0.92 | 0.28 |
Russian Patriots | 2.47 | 0.26 | 0.13 |
Communists | 34.57 | 16.28 | 8.82 |
Apple | 19.34 | 0.29 | 0.13 |
United Russia | 22.22 | 81.25 | 89.84 |
Right-wing Party | 1.65 | 0.13 | 0.11 |
VOTERS' APPEARANCE | 49.1 | 94.3 | 93.0 |
Voting results of SAO astronomers
in the elections of Russian Federation President on 4 March 2012.
Official data (per cent)
Candidate | Nizhnyi Arkhyz LEC No.123 | Zelenchuk
region | Karachai- Cherkesia |
Zhirinovsky V.V. | 4.17% | 1.19% | 0.98% |
Zyuganov, G.A. | 27.43% | 11.37% | 5.81% |
Mironov, S.M. | 4.17% | 0.74% | 0.74% |
Prokhorov, M.D. | 18.75% | 1.25% | 0.90% |
Putin, V.V. | 42.36% | 85.20% | 91.36% |
VOTERS' APPEARANCE | 58.9 | 87.7 | 86.3 |
Information sources: Commission No.123 protocol;
Website of the Karachai-Cherkesia Republican Electoral Commission.
The protocol data agree with the Commission data.
See also article by Oleg Verkhodanov (in Russian)
"How Nizhnyi Arkhyz disturbed statistics" in the newspaper "Troitsky Variant" No.99, p.8,
on 13 March 2012.
Falsification of elections in the Local Electoral Commission No.60 of city of Karachaevsk
of Karachai-Cherkesian Republic
Target of investigation.
After publication of results of Russian parliament elections on
4 December 2011 by the Republican Electoral Commission, it was found a striking difference
between electoral data of the district No.123 located in Niznyi Arkhyz, Zelenchuk region of
Karachai-Cherkesia (the astronomers' village where the Special Astrophysical Observatory
of the Russian Academy of Sciences is located), data of Zelenchuk region, and Karachai-
Cherkesia as a full. So, the appearance of electors in the district No.123
was 49.1 per cent, and the voting result for United Russia party was 22.22%, in contrast
with the mean appearance in Zelenchuk region, consequently, 94.3 and 81.25 per cent,
and those in Karachai-Cherkesia, 93.0 and 89.84 per cent. Such a difference used to be
explained by disparity in social and educational level, by difference in national content and
by traditions of inhabitants of astronomers' village (those are engineers, technicians and
scientists mostly russians and ukraineans), population of Zelenchuk region (kazaks and
karachai people), and multinational people of Karachai-Cherkesia as a full.
It is often mentioned in mass media about traditional large support of "United Russia"
ruling party and its president candidates in Caucasian Republics.
To establish the truth, we decided to do an independent estimate of electoral appearance
in an accidently chosen district in Karachai-Cherkesia at the next elections of a president
on 4 March 2012. We have registered at the WebVybory2012 portal in the district No.60
of the city Karachaevsk, where the local karachai inhabitants predominate, and
a large number of electors are included in the voting lists. Both, at parliament
elections on 4 December, 2011, and president ones on 4 March 2012, there were 2170 people in
the voting lists based on data of republican Commission.
Local Electoral Commission No.60 before the beginning of its work.
This is a second district by a number content in the city of Karachaevsk.
Our purpose was to count all the electors visited the district, received a bulletin
and put it into the ballot-box. Additionally, we looked for the law violations both
by the Local Commission staff, and visitors at the district specially noting possible
carrying-out the bulletins from the district, and possible carrying-in the
bulletins to realize a so called carrousels.
Cameras were installed suitable to fix such
a violations because both, the ballot-box and exit door were seen simultaneously.
The observations were carried out continuously during all 12 hours of the district
functioning, and they were not broken in order to eat and go to w.c. because we had
notebooks and Wi-Fi. The observations were carried also during a poll but without
the results, because only a small part of the table with the bulletins sorted
was seen. So, we got to know the results of the poll only at the morning of
5 March from the site of Republican Election Commission. Both our observers were
located in different regions of Moscow city, connected with a mobile communication,
and co-ordinated their actions. We voted at different Moscow districts changing
one another.
The velocity of signal transmission by Internet was 70 Mbit/s. The image quality
received was excellent without any stops and interruptions in transmission. We
began observation on 7:15 Moscow time. Time counts in seconds marked in the
frames of ...1330839532 relates to 9:40 of Moscow time.
Observers:
Goranskij Vitaly senior researcher of the Sternberg Astronomical Institute, Moscow
University,
Barsukova Elena, senior researcher of the Special Astrophysical
Observatory, Russian Academy of Sciences.
Results.
We have counted a total of 1149 electors put the bulletins into ballot-box.
The error of the number of bulletins put into the box is estimated as a few units
(less than +/-10). The count error may be connected with some crowding people near
the box when one had manage to count people but not bulletins. Once the box
view was blocked by a woman, the Commission member. In two cases, family pairs
put the bulletins into the box together and visible as one, but we counted them
as two. We have fixed also possible carrying-out of 3 bulletins by 2 persons
who passed over the ballot-box with white sheets of the same format as bulletins
and went out of doors. We haven't note carrying-in bulletins to the district.
The time graph of elector appearance is shown here.
The graph of elector appearance. Absciss is Moscow time, ordinate is number
of visitors each half-hour.
Based on data by Local Commission No.60 present in pages of Republican Commission,
1578 bulletins were distributed in the election room and all of them were found
in the ballot-box. The difference with our count result is very big, 429 bulletins.
It was not possible to throw in the box such a number of bulletins unnoticed,
even in the time when the box view was blocked by the woman, member of Commission.
The slit of the box was so narrow that some electors had difficulties to force
through it a single bulletin what was evident. Probably, the throw-in was
done after the box opening with the indifferent attitude by surrounding people,
and the table was installed especially in such a way for the camera view to be
accessible only part of the table (see photo).
Bulletin count by Commission No.60.
It was possible that Commission No.60 count results were changed by a higher
Commission. This fact of falsification is criminal offence, and it should be
investigated using web-server records. This throw-in of only those 429
bulletins in the favor of acting authority candidate increases his rating from
64.4 to declared 87.86 per cent what is essential through a Republic.
Based on our counts, the appearance of electors in this district was
52.5 per cent, what is a normal value and is close over the country for such
elections. False appearance based on the Commission data is 72.1 per cent.
Other violations.
Group voting. On 9:08 a group of about 30 women entered the election room
who had rapidly tale bulletins (probably without presentation and checking
passports). When this group voted, a woman, Commission member (red-haired with
the identification table on the breast) took up position
close to ballot-box and made notes in her sheet of paper looking at bulletins.
Then she put her sheet just on the ballot-box (see photo). With this action,
the right of the secrete vote and free will of electors was violated. Being
such a procedure made in favour the authority candidate, it gives him additional
2 per cent votes. Large peaks in the time graph of elector appearance suggest
that the electors were brought to the district by buses.
Commission member controls group voting process.
Abuse of hand-held ballot-boxes.
Based on Commission No.60 report on the March 4 elections, an unexampled large
number of bulletins was distributed outside the election room, 251. No one
another city commission had distributed such a number of bulletins, the other
biggest number was 50. In the last elections on 4 December 2011, Commission No.60
distributed only 12 bulletins outside the room. Distribution of such a big number
can be warranted with nothing. There was a normal good weather for the beginning
of March, and no epidemic took place. Evidently, this was a method of
legalization the additional throw-in of bulletins. It is physically not possible
to visit the apartments of such a number of electors for 5.5 hours (Commission
members leaved the electoral room on 14:26 having 2 hand-held ballot-boxes).
It results only 2 minutes and 36 seconds per one elector per 1 box.
Bulletin count was hided from view of web-camera, counting results
were not presented in the view at the enough close distance.
False voting results in the president
elections on 4 March 2011
based on the data of Local Election Commission
No.60
in the city of Karachaevsk, Karachai-Cherkesian Republic.
Official data (per cent)
Candidate | Karachaevsk LEC No.60 |
Zhirinovsky, V.V. | 0.00 |
Zyuganov, G.A. | 10.99 |
Mironov, S.M. | 1.04 |
Prokhorov, M.D. | 0.00 |
Putin, V.V. | 87.86 |
VOTERS' APPEARANCE | 72.1 |
Conclusion.
Now it is established that only in this district it was thrown in 429 + 251 =680
bulletins what amounts 37.2 per cent of total number of bulletins recognized as
valid. Without any doubt, these votes were arrogated to authority candidate.
If not, whom another one?
With such an organization of elections there are no guaranties
that votes for other candidates were stolen in favour of authority candidate.
With all this going on, thieves hadn't stay any voices for two candidates.
I have appealed to Republic Commission with a request to recognize the elections
in this district invalid, but this appeal was stayed with no attention and reply,
as usual.
The results of 4 March, 2012 by Local Electoral Commission No.60 in the city of
Karachaevsk given in the Central Electoral Commission of the Russian Federation
are deliberately false and deserve no credit. Probably, the falsification is
overwhelming in all the republics of the North Caucasus.